Skip to content

Liga MX · Matchweek 16

Querétaro FC

QUE

Puebla

PUE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Querétaro47%
Draw28%
Puebla25%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.04

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.4%
  • 1012.3%
  • 219.2%
  • 009.0%
  • 208.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

39%Possession45%
43%Territory47%
3%From set plays50%
0.14Chance quality0.05
10.1%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Querétaro, 3 for Puebla. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.