Liga MX · Matchweek 16
Querétaro FC
QUE
Puebla
PUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Querétaro49%
Draw26%
Puebla26%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.19
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession46%
42%Territory38%
12%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Querétaro, 4 for Puebla.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.