Liga MX · Matchweek 16
Atlas
ATL
Pachuca
PAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlas33%
Draw27%
Pachuca40%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.46
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlas will have the ball; Pachuca will not mind.
56%Possession45%
33%Territory37%
40%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.3%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlas, 3 for Pachuca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.