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Liga MX · Matchweek 16

Atlético de San Luis

ATT

FC Juárez

FCJ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

San Luis49%
Draw26%
Juárez25%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.11

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juárez get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession50%
36%Territory35%
11%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for San Luis, 4 for Juárez.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.