Liga MX · Matchweek 16
Atlético de San Luis
ATT
FC Juárez
FCJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
San Luis53%
Draw25%
Juárez22%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.07
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession45%
33%Territory36%
10%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Luis, 3 for Juárez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.