Liga MX · Matchweek 15
FC Juárez
FCJ
Querétaro FC
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juárez25%
Draw26%
Querétaro50%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.69
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession39%
36%Territory43%
19%From set plays3%
0.07Chance quality0.14
5.5%Directness10.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juárez, 2 for Querétaro. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.