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Liga MX · Matchweek 15

Atlético de San Luis

ATT

Atlas

ATL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

San Luis44%
Draw27%
Atlas29%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.24

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 1010.0%
  • 219.1%
  • 017.8%
  • 007.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Atlas will have the ball; San Luis will not mind.

46%Possession56%
33%Territory33%
10%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Luis, 3 for Atlas. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.