Liga MX · Matchweek 14
CF América
CFA
Pachuca
PAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
América44%
Draw27%
Pachuca29%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.22
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.9%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession45%
47%Territory37%
37%From set plays28%
0.06Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for América, 3 for Pachuca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
América
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.