Liga MX · Matchweek 14
Atlante
ATA
Atlético de San Luis
ATT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlante46%
Draw27%
San Luis27%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.11
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.4%
- 0–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession46%
42%Territory33%
14%From set plays10%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlante, 3 for San Luis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.