Liga MX · Matchweek 12
Cruz Azul
CRU
FC Juárez
FCJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cruz Azul66%
Draw20%
Juárez15%
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.01
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–18.8%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cruz Azul will have the ball; Juárez will not mind.
53%Possession45%
42%Territory36%
28%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.07
7.8%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cruz Azul, 3 for Juárez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.