Liga MX · Matchweek 12
Santos Laguna
SAN
Querétaro FC
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santos36%
Draw28%
Querétaro37%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.37
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession39%
44%Territory43%
28%From set plays3%
0.07Chance quality0.14
8.3%Directness10.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santos, 2 for Querétaro. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.