Liga MX · Matchweek 11
Atlético de San Luis
ATT
Santos Laguna
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
San Luis40%
Draw28%
Santos32%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.25
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Santos get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession50%
33%Territory44%
10%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.6%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Luis, 3 for Santos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.