Liga MX · Matchweek 11
Pachuca
PAC
Necaxa
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pachuca46%
Draw27%
Necaxa27%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.17
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Necaxa get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession48%
37%Territory33%
28%From set plays45%
0.07Chance quality0.12
7.8%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pachuca, 3 for Necaxa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.