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Liga MX · Matchweek 10

Pumas

PUM

Atlético de San Luis

ATT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pumas42%
Draw28%
San Luis30%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.18

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.6%
  • 1010.9%
  • 019.0%
  • 218.8%
  • 008.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Pumas get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

40%Possession46%
39%Territory33%
27%From set plays10%
0.06Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pumas, 3 for San Luis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.