Liga MX · Matchweek 10
Santos Laguna
SAN
Pachuca
PAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santos35%
Draw28%
Pachuca36%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.33
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–08.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession45%
44%Territory37%
28%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.07
8.3%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santos, 3 for Pachuca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.