Liga MX · Matchweek 10
Chivas
CHI
Querétaro FC
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chivas43%
Draw28%
Querétaro28%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.10
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–09.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession39%
37%Territory43%
4%From set plays3%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness10.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chivas, 2 for Querétaro. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.