Liga MX · Matchweek 9
Pachuca
PAC
Tijuana
TIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pachuca35%
Draw28%
Tijuana36%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.30
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession60%
37%Territory36%
28%From set plays35%
0.07Chance quality0.17
7.8%Directness9.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pachuca, 2 for Tijuana. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tijuana
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.