Liga MX · Matchweek 9
Atlético de San Luis
ATT
Necaxa
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
San Luis38%
Draw28%
Necaxa35%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Necaxa get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession48%
33%Territory33%
10%From set plays45%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Luis, 3 for Necaxa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.