Conference League · League phase MD5
Egnatia
EGN
FK Kauno Žalgiris
FKK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Egnatia50%
Draw25%
FK Kauno Žalgiris25%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.16
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession28%
43%Territory21%
24%From set plays52%
0.06Chance quality0.07
8.0%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Egnatia, 2 for FK Kauno Žalgiris. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FK Kauno Žalgiris
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.