Conference League · League phase MD4
Egnatia
EGN
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Egnatia57%
Draw23%
Lincoln Red Imps FC21%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.16
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession29%
43%Territory23%
24%From set plays29%
0.06Chance quality0.08
8.0%Directness11.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Egnatia, 2 for Lincoln Red Imps FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.