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Conference League · League phase MD3

Mjällby

MJL

Borac Banja Luka

BOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mjällby47%
Draw26%
Borac Banja Luka26%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.16

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession39%
44%Territory35%
33%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Mjällby, 2 for Borac Banja Luka. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.