Conference League · League phase MD4
FK Kauno Žalgiris
FKK
Riga FC
RIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FK Kauno Žalgiris32%
Draw26%
Riga FC42%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.58
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
28%Possession57%
21%Territory41%
52%From set plays11%
0.07Chance quality0.13
7.2%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FK Kauno Žalgiris, 2 for Riga FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FK Kauno Žalgiris
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.