Conference League · League phase MD6
FK Kauno Žalgiris
FKK
Freiburg
FRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FK Kauno Žalgiris34%
Draw26%
Freiburg39%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.53
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
28%Possession56%
21%Territory43%
52%From set plays56%
0.07Chance quality0.09
7.2%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FK Kauno Žalgiris, 2 for Freiburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FK Kauno Žalgiris
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.