Conference League · League phase MD4
CSKA Sofia
CSK
Trabzonspor
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
CSKA Sofia38%
Draw26%
Trabzonspor36%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.49
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–07.9%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession58%
33%Territory37%
30%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.15
6.7%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for CSKA Sofia, 2 for Trabzonspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
CSKA Sofia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.