Conference League · League phase MD3
Thun
THU
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun39%
Draw28%
Hearts32%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.23
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–08.7%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession41%
25%Territory34%
23%From set plays72%
0.08Chance quality0.08
8.4%Directness9.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Thun, 2 for Hearts. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Thun
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.