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Conference League · League phase MD6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

INT

AGF

AGF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter Club d'Escaldes40%
Draw28%
AGF32%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.22

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

61%Possession41%
31%Territory30%
8%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.3%Directness2.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Inter Club d'Escaldes, 2 for AGF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.