Conference League · League phase MD5
AGF
AGF
FC Twente
FCT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AGF30%
Draw27%
FC Twente44%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.54
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession72%
30%Territory58%
24%From set plays2%
0.08Chance quality0.15
2.9%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for AGF, 2 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.