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Conference League · League phase MD6

Nordsjælland

NOR

KuPS

KUP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nordsjælland42%
Draw28%
KuPS30%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.20

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession53%
33%Territory37%
5%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nordsjælland, 2 for KuPS. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.