Conference League · League phase MD4
Nordsjælland
NOR
Panathinaikos
PAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nordsjælland32%
Draw26%
Panathinaikos42%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.63
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession61%
33%Territory49%
5%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.19
4.6%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nordsjælland, 2 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nordsjælland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.