Conference League · League phase MD6
Jablonec
JAB
Iberia 1999
IBE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Jablonec45%
Draw27%
Iberia 199928%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.16
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.1%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
34%Possession43%
27%Territory21%
27%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.09
8.8%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Jablonec, 2 for Iberia 1999. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Iberia 1999
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.