Conference League · League phase MD4
Hajduk Split
HAJ
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hajduk Split40%
Draw27%
St.Truiden33%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.31
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession58%
27%Territory47%
22%From set plays4%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.9%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Hajduk Split, 2 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.