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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Conference League · League phase MD3

Universitatea Craiova

UNI

Egnatia

EGN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Universitatea Craiova47%
Draw27%
Egnatia26%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.10

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–08.2%
  • 2–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

39%Possession59%
33%Territory43%
39%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.06
6.7%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Universitatea Craiova, 2 for Egnatia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.