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Conference League · League phase MD6

Universitatea Craiova

UNI

FC København

FCK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Universitatea Craiova43%
Draw28%
FC København29%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.18

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

39%Possession39%
33%Territory33%
39%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Universitatea Craiova, 2 for FC København. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.