Conference League · League phase MD5
Trabzonspor
TRA
Jablonec
JAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor50%
Draw25%
Jablonec25%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.23
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession34%
37%Territory27%
12%From set plays27%
0.15Chance quality0.12
4.0%Directness8.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Trabzonspor, 2 for Jablonec. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.