Conference League · League phase MD3
Trabzonspor
TRA
Freiburg
FRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor50%
Draw25%
Freiburg26%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.27
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession56%
37%Territory43%
12%From set plays56%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.0%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Trabzonspor, 2 for Freiburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.