Conference League · League phase MD4
Kairat Almaty
KAI
Mjällby
MJL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kairat Almaty34%
Draw27%
Mjällby39%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.45
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–28.5%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession50%
32%Territory44%
23%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Kairat Almaty, 2 for Mjällby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.