Conference League · League phase MD5
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Borac Banja Luka
BOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hearts43%
Draw27%
Borac Banja Luka30%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.23
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession39%
34%Territory35%
72%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.07
9.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Hearts, 2 for Borac Banja Luka. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.