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Conference League · League phase MD4

Brann

BRA

AGF

AGF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brann52%
Draw25%
AGF23%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.13

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

70%Possession41%
53%Territory30%
19%From set plays24%
0.14Chance quality0.08
2.4%Directness2.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brann, 2 for AGF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.