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Conference League · League phase MD5

Brann

BRA

Braga

BRG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brann49%
Draw25%
Braga26%

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.23

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

70%Possession58%
53%Territory41%
19%From set plays24%
0.14Chance quality0.10
2.4%Directness2.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brann, 2 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.