Conference League · League phase MD5
Brann
BRA
Braga
BRG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brann49%
Draw25%
Braga26%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.23
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
70%Possession58%
53%Territory41%
19%From set plays24%
0.14Chance quality0.10
2.4%Directness2.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brann, 2 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Braga
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.