Conference League · League phase MD3
St.Truiden
STT
Brann
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden40%
Draw26%
Brann34%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.42
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession70%
47%Territory53%
4%From set plays19%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.8%Directness2.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St.Truiden, 2 for Brann. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
St.Truiden
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.