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Conference League · League phase MD6

Borac Banja Luka

BOR

Riga FC

RIG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Borac Banja Luka38%
Draw27%
Riga FC35%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.36

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

39%Possession57%
35%Territory41%
27%From set plays11%
0.07Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Borac Banja Luka, 2 for Riga FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.