Conference League · League phase MD4
Borac Banja Luka
BOR
Atalanta
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Borac Banja Luka39%
Draw27%
Atalanta34%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.36
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession52%
35%Territory48%
27%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Borac Banja Luka, 2 for Atalanta. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.