Conference League · League phase MD3
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LIN
Hajduk Split
HAJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln Red Imps FC28%
Draw24%
Hajduk Split48%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.80
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–16.9%
- 0–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
29%Possession45%
23%Territory27%
29%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.12
11.1%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 2 for Hajduk Split. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.