Conference League · League phase MD5
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LIN
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln Red Imps FC28%
Draw24%
FC Midtjylland48%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.84
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–17.8%
- 2–16.8%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
29%Possession45%
23%Territory41%
29%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.14
11.1%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 2 for FC Midtjylland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.