Conference League · League phase MD6
FC Twente
FCT
Kairat Almaty
KAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente59%
Draw22%
Kairat Almaty19%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.11
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
72%Possession39%
58%Territory32%
2%From set plays23%
0.15Chance quality0.08
3.6%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Twente, 2 for Kairat Almaty. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Twente
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.