Conference League · League phase MD3
KuPS
KUP
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
KuPS40%
Draw29%
Gent31%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.17
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession50%
37%Territory40%
22%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.07
3.3%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for KuPS, 2 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.