Conference League · League phase MD3
Getafe
GET
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Getafe36%
Draw26%
Brighton38%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.50
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession75%
44%Territory71%
39%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.3%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Getafe, 2 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.