Conference League · League phase MD4
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Universitatea Craiova
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton45%
Draw27%
Universitatea Craiova28%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.18
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.9%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
75%Possession39%
71%Territory33%
18%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.2%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brighton, 2 for Universitatea Craiova. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.