Conference League · League phase MD6
Pafos FC
PAF
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pafos FC40%
Draw27%
Hearts33%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.30
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession41%
35%Territory34%
9%From set plays72%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness9.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Pafos FC, 2 for Hearts. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.