Conference League · League phase MD4
Pafos FC
PAF
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pafos FC38%
Draw27%
FC Midtjylland35%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.41
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession45%
35%Territory41%
9%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.14
5.4%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Pafos FC, 2 for FC Midtjylland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.