Conference League · League phase MD3
Panathinaikos
PAN
CSKA Sofia
CSK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panathinaikos52%
Draw24%
CSKA Sofia24%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.24
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession48%
49%Territory33%
19%From set plays30%
0.19Chance quality0.09
2.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Panathinaikos, 2 for CSKA Sofia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
CSKA Sofia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.