Conference League · League phase MD6
Panathinaikos
PAN
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panathinaikos46%
Draw25%
Brighton29%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.33
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession75%
49%Territory71%
19%From set plays18%
0.19Chance quality0.09
2.3%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Panathinaikos, 2 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.